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| The Gorilla Daily Email |
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| Saturday 4/5/2025 |
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| Stocks Spiral Lower As Trade War Begins |
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| GorillaTrades Menu of Ideas |
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New Potential
Gorilla Picks |
Recently
Triggered |
Recently
Confirmed |
| AMGN 4/4 |
PBH 4/1 |
POST 4/3 |
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Light Volume
Pullbacks |
Special
Situation Picks |
Gorilla
Picklets |
| None |
None |
None |
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| Gorilla Watchlist |
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| Company |
Symbol |
Current Price |
| Amgen |
AMGN |
$294.39 |
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Trigger
Price |
Confirmation Volume |
Deadline |
| $314.90 |
2.9M |
4/10 |
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| Recently Triggered GorillaPicks |
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| Company |
Symbol |
Date
Triggered
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Prestige Healthcare
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PBH
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4/1
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| Trigger
Price
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Current
Price
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Stop
Loss
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Target Prices
T1 T2
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| $86.87 |
$82.91
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$78.75
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| Recently Confirmed GorillaPicks |
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| Company |
Symbol |
Trigger
Price |
Confirmed
Price |
Post Holdings
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POST
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$114.05
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$117.98 |
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Confirmed
Date |
Current
Price | Stop
Loss |
Target Prices
T1 T2 |
4/3
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$117.58 |
$103.75 |
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| Transactions Closed Today |
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Visa (V) triggered on 4/20/23 at $235, sold remaining 25% at $315 (raised stop) for a 34% profit
Mastercard (MA) triggered on 9/27/24 at $493.63, sold remaining 25% at $505 (raised stop) for a 2.5% profit. (initial 75% sold previosuly at $530, its first target, for a 7.5% profit.)
Goosehead Insurance (GSHD) triggered on 3/24/25 at $119.04, sold at $107.25 (stop loss) for a 9% loss |
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| Portfolio Update |
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Even the GorillaTrades portfolio could not avoid the overall market weakness on Friday, as every GorillaPick finished lower, most much lower. Goosehead Insurance (GSHD), a 5 risk-rated GorillaPick, even stopped out for a loss. It marks only the fifth confirmed GorillaPick transaction to close out for a loss in the past six weeks, during a time in which the stock market plummeted, but 16 different confirmed transactions were closed for profits. The remaining 25% of MasterCard (MA) and Visa (V) also stopped out. Mastercard resulted in a small profit, but Visa resulted in a 34% profit! The Gorilla was sad to see Visa go after nearly two years in the GT portfolio, as he still ikes its long-term prospects.
Thus, even after another very rotten session in the overall stock market, 11 of the 17 confirmed GorillaPicks in the GorillaTrades portfolio hold unrealized gains, including eight with double-digit gains. Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) and Atmos Energy (ATO) hold 21% and 24% unrealized gains, respectively. Tradeweb Markets (TW) holds a 36% gain, while Brown & Brown (BRO) leads the portfolio with a huge 71% gain. In addition, 10 different GorillaPicks have achieved their first targets.
WEEKLY STRONGEST GORILLAPICKS:
The Kroger Co. KR
McKesson Corp. MCK
Post Holdings Inc. POST |
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| Gorilla Commentary |
Price Action:
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Overbought/Oversold:
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Bearish 0-100 Bullish
Stocks outright crashed in the second half of the week, with several sectors dropping by double-digits in two days, and stocks will likely face technical headwinds in the coming weeks. |
Overbought 0-100 Oversold
The large-cap benchmarks and the Russell 2000 are all extremely oversold, from a momentum perspective, with the Nasdaq and the small-cap benchmark being the most stretched on the downside. |
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| Index |
G/L |
Current level |
Year-to- date |
50-day MA |
200-day MA |
| Dow |
-2,231 |
38,315 |
-49.9% |
43,102 |
42,188 |
| Nasdaq |
-963 |
15,588 |
-19.3% |
18,619 |
18,441 |
| S&P 500 |
-322 |
5,074 |
-13.7% |
5,844 |
5,760 |
| Russell 2000 |
-83 |
1,827 |
-18.1% |
2,150 |
2,202 |
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Decliners outnumbered advancing issues by a 13-to-1 ratio on the NYSE on Friday, with 12 stocks hitting new 52-week highs and 644 stocks hitting fresh 52-week lows, while volume was very heavy.
·Stocks finished the week deep in the red across the board as the risk of a full-blown trade war skyrocketed, with the Dow dropping to its lowest level since August while the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 hitting nearly one-year lows
·The Trump administration slapped tariffs on virtually all imported goods, with higher levies on products from a slew of countries, including China and the members of the European Union (EU)
·The tech sector's giants were hit the hardest amid fears of a decline in global trade, with growth-sensitive stocks also dropping sharply due to a surge in recession odds
·The labor market sent conflicting signals once again, with the Challenger job cuts estimate, the unemployment rate and the JOLTS job openings estimate showing weakness but non-farm payrolls, the ADP payrolls number, and the weekly jobless claims report delivering bullish surprises
·Treasury yields plummeted to their lowest levels since September, with the benchmark 10-year yield dropping below 4% as investors significantly increased their rate-cut bets
The week's key economic releases were mixed with significant positive and negative surprises from multiple sectors, but trade worries eclipsed even the most forward-looking measures, and recession odds spiked higher in the second half of the week, triggering a plunge in Treasury yields. The Chicago PMI, construction spending, the Ward’s vehicle sales number, non-farm payrolls, the ADP payrolls number, and the weekly jobless claims report all made bulls smile as “hard” economic data continued to outperform the key survey-based indicators. The ISM manufacturing and services PMIs, the unemployment rate, the JOLTS job openings estimate, and the Challenger job cuts estimate provided negative surprises. At the same time, the Manufacturing Price Index unexpectedly jumped to a nearly three-year high. |
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| New Potential GorillaPick |
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| Quote of the Day: |
"You don’t always need a plan. Sometimes you just need to breathe, trust, let go, and see what happens."
-Mandt Hale |
| Key Long-Term Technical Levels: |
| Index |
Support |
Resistance |
| Dow |
28,700 +/- |
45,100 +/- |
| Nasdaq |
10,000 +/- |
20,300 +/- |
| S&P |
3,500 +/- |
6,150 +/- |
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| Question & Answer |
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Q. Dear Gorilla, recently I read something about “trailing stops” in the "Question of the Day" section. Is this another method for placing a stop loss order? How does it work?
Read the Answer |
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| Questions? Get More Info Here |
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A Note From The Gorilla...
Want to improve your portfolio’s returns? Check out the Gorilla’s page of “quick videos” that highlight (and show you exactly how to use) the Gorilla’s System and its most-valuable features effectively. Click HERE
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The GorillaTrades "portfolio" is a collection of investment ideas, which are meant to be filtered according to your investment style and tolerance for risk. All investing involves risk. Always invest according to your own tolerance for risk and use a stop loss.
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